polling

Has the longtime swing state of Ohio stopped swinging?
Democrats may struggle to reverse Buckeye State’s recent turn to the right

A woman holds her voting sticker in her hand after casting her ballot in Leetonia, Ohio, on Election Day 2016. President Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by 8 points to pick up the state’s 18 electoral votes . (Ty Wright/Getty Images file photo)

When it comes to presidential elections, no one picks ’em like Ohio.

Going back to 1896, the Buckeye State has backed the winning candidate in all but two elections — the best record for any state in recent history. John F. Kennedy in 1960 was the last person to win the White House without winning Ohio.

Ocasio-Cortez still popular in district despite being unfavorable nationally
New York Dem’s favorability ratings in own district track with party leaders Schumer, Pelosi

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., attends a House Financial Services Committee hearing titled "Putting Consumers First? A Semi-Annual Review of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau," in Rayburn Building on Thursday, March 7, 2019. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Most people in this country either don’t like her or just don’t know enough about her, but Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez remains popular among her home constituency in New York’s 14th District.

Fifty-two percent of the freshman congresswoman’s registered constituents in The Bronx and the north-central portion of Queens view her favorably, compared to 33 percent who view her unfavorably, according to a new poll from the Sienna College Research Institute released Wednesday.

Pollsters prep for more ‘whack-a-mole’ with 2016 in rearview
“Mixed mode” and online surveys expected to become more prevalent

Pollsters are experimenting with online surveys to better reach voters. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Pollsters gearing up for the 2020 presidential election have an additional task to contend with: convincing a skeptical public that their work is still reliable.

Questions about their methods have dogged them since President Donald Trump’s surprise victory in 2016, although the midterm results helped mitigate some of those doubts.

O’Rourke is rising, and a majority say they don’t want a second Trump term, poll shows
Texas Democrat up to 12 percent support in early poll, while 53 percent say ‘no’ to a second Trump term

Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-Texas, is in the hunt for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke appeared to inch closer to the two Democratic frontrunners for the party’s 2020 presidential nomination, a Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday shows.

The Texas Democrat, who lost his bid for Senate to Sen. Ted Cruz in the 2018 midterms, received 12 percent support from those surveyed who identified as Democrats or Democratic leaners.

Most Republicans want to see the full Mueller report, new poll finds
The poll found 56 percent of Republicans, and 84 percent of Democrats, believe AG should release Mueller‘s report

President Donald Trump alongside Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., center, and Sen. Roy Blunt, R-Mo., talks to the media about Robert Mueller’s report upon arriving for the Senate Republican Policy luncheon in the Capitol on Tuesday, March 26, 2019. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Most Republicans think the full Mueller report should be released to the public, a new poll found. It’s a sharp departure from the position GOP lawmakers have established as they call for some parts of the report to be redacted.

Fifty-six percent of the 405 Republicans surveyed for a new Economist/YouGov poll released Wednesday agreed that Attorney General William Barr should release the “full contents” of the Robert S. Mueller III report on 2016 Russian election interference and alleged collusion with Trump campaign officials.

Capitol Ink | Mueller Lite Barr

Capitol Ink | Biden Bracketology

Some voters labeled AOC the biggest ‘villain’ in loss of NYC’s HQ2, poll says
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was outspoken in opposition to locating the company’s second headquarters in Queens

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y. seen during a House Oversight and Reform Committee hearing in Rayburn Building. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Some New Yorkers see Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and others as “villains” in Amazon’s decision to cancel its planned New York City headquarters, a new poll released Monday shows.

“Amazon itself was seen as the biggest villain among Democrats, but Republicans and independents had Ocasio-Cortez as far and away the largest villain, followed by the local Queens activists,” said Siena College Pollster Steven Greenberg.

3 Takeaways: Experts say ‘Beto’ could beat Trump — if he can get that far
‘You pronounced it incorrectly: It’s Robert Francis,’ WH spox says dismissively of O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke joins Willie Nelson on stage in Austin during his failed bid for Senate in 2018. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

President Donald Trump has mostly remained silent about the ever-growing list of candidates who have joined the Democratic race for the party’s 2020 nomination to face him. But that’s not the case with Beto O’Rourke, the former Texas congressman who threw his hat in the ring late Wednesday.

Unlike California Sen. Kamala Harris or former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper or Washington Gov. Jay Inslee or Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar, the politician known colloquially as “Beto” seems to have gotten under the president’s skin — or at least gotten Trump’s attention.

Former Indiana Democratic Sen. Birch Bayh dies at 91
Bayh was considered the father of Title IX

Former Indiana Sen. Birch Bayh and actress Holly Hunter listen to actress Geena Davis during a February 2003 news conference on protections of athletic opportunities for women. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Former Indiana Sen. Birch Bayh, the man behind the landmark Title IX legislation, died Thursday morning from pneumonia at the age of 91.

Besides serving in the Senate for three terms, the liberal Democrat was also the father of former Indiana Gov. and Sen. Evan Bayh, who lost a comeback Senate bid in 2016.